The Advice That Makes A Difference

Posts Tagged: Maryland Real Estate

The Only Thing “Lousy” Was The Advice

We read an interesting article in the Wall Street Journal titled A Home Is a Lousy Investment. It was written by Mr. Bridges, a professor of clinical finance and business economics at the University of Southern California’s Marshall School of Business. The essence of the piece is that owning a home is not a good financial investment for younger generations. The subtitle:

“Today’s young people would be foolish to imitate their parents and view ownership as the cornerstone of personal finance.”

Today, we would like to counter some of the points made by Professor Bridges. The professor looks back on California home values over the last thirty years and begins with the assumption:

“If a disciplined investor who might have considered purchasing that median-price house in 1980 had opted instead to invest the 20% down payment of $19,910 and the normal homeownership expenses (above the cost of renting) over the years…

There are several challenges with these givens. Let’s break them down.
“a disciplined investor”

There is no doubt that discipline in savings is important. However, studies show that homeowners attain greater wealth because of ‘forced’ savings.

The Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University released a study, America’s Rental Housing: Meeting Challenges, Building on Opportunities. They explain:

“In addition, renters have only a fraction of the net wealth of owners. Near the peak of the housing bubble in 2007, the median net wealth of homeowners was $234,600—about 46 times the $5,100 median for renters. Even if homeowner wealth fell back to 1995 levels, it would still be 27.5 times the median for renters.”

“invest the 20% down payment”

The professor’s math supposes a 20% down payment. What about the people who put 5% down or 10% down. What about those who purchased a home with an FHA mortgage putting 3% down; or our veterans who used a VA mortgage to purchase a home with no down payment?  (For those who think low down payments have caused the current foreclosure challenge, the difference in default rate between a 5% down deal and a 20% down deal is less than 1%).
“normal homeownership expenses (above the cost of renting)”

It’s great that Professor Bridges looked at data over the last 30 years. History is important. Foresight is much more valuable than hindsight however. In most parts of the country, homeownership is currently less expensive than renting. There is not MORE money to invest if you rent. There is LESS.

In their report mentioned above, Harvard University found:

“Rental markets are now tightening, with vacancy rates falling and rents climbing. With little new supply of multifamily units in the pipeline, rents could rise sharply as demand increases.”

Trulia, in its second quarter 2011 Rent vs. Buy Index, stated that buying a home has become more affordable than renting in nearly four out of five (78%) major cities. Ken Shuman, Head of Communications at Trulia said:

“With home prices nearing a double dip and more foreclosures expected to flood the housing market over the next two years, the decision between renting and buying a home across most of the country has clearly moved in favor of buying.”

The premise of Professor Bridges article doesn’t apply to the current market. Even some in the academic world agree that now is the time to buy.

Business School professors Eli Beracha of East Carolina University and Ken H. Johnson Ph.D. of Florida International University have done extensive research on which makes more sense financially: to rent or own a home. They published a sensational paper on this issue: Lessons from Over 30 Years of Buy versus Rent Decisions: Is the American Dream Always Wise?. In their paper, they explain:

“[F]undamental drivers now appear to be in place that favor homeownership over renting in the near term future…

[This] finding might seem unwise to many given the recent crash in the real estate markets around the country. However, rent-to-price ratios now seem to be in place along with other fundamental drivers that favor ownership over renting.”

They conclude their research paper with this sentence:

“Conditions (historically low mortgage rates and relatively low rent-to-price ratios) now seem in place to favor future purchases.”

If Professor Bridges’ assumptions are incorrect, how much value can the conclusions hold?
Bottom Line

The best advice given in the Wall Street Journal article was in the last paragraph:

“Owner-occupied homes will always be the basis for healthy and stable neighborhoods.”

And, in today’s market, a home is also a fabulous investment!!

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

Four Financial Reasons To Buy Now

The purchase of a home is a personal decision. However, we want to give everyone four great financial reasons why you should not wait before taking the plunge into homeownership.
Interest Rates Are Increasing

Interest rates have increased almost 3/4 of a point in the last six months. Most experts expect rates to continue to increase through the year. Interest rates along with price determine the overall cost of a home. Even with prices softening, if interest rates rise, it may be less expensive to buy now rather than wait.

The 30-Year Mortgage May Disappear

There has been much debate regarding government’s role in providing support for homeownership. There are several experts who believe If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s roles are eliminated, or even limited, it may be the end to the 30-year mortgage. This concern is addressed in MSN Real Estate’s  Is it curtains for the 30-year mortgage?

QRM Requirements Could Be Much More Stringent

Here are proposed changes to the requirements for a ‘qualified residential mortgage’:

* Certain mortgage types would be eliminated
* You would need to put a minimum of 20% down
* You would need a minimum 690 FICO score
* The ratios of income to both the mortgage payment and overall debt would become much more conservative (28% and 36%)

There would be loans available to purchasers who don’t qualify under the new rules. However, they will probably be more expensive to the buyer (both in rate and costs).

Rents Are Expected to Increase

The supply of available rentals is decreasing and the demand is increasing. That will lead to an increase in rental costs throughout the year. The Wall Street Journal this week quoted a report by Reis, Inc:

“Expect vacancies to continue declining, and rents rising through the rest of 2011 at an even faster pace.”

Bottom Line

You may be waiting on the sidelines to see if prices will continue to depreciate before you purchase a home. The mortgage expense is a major piece in the overall financial picture of homeownership. Make sure you consider it when timing your decision.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

SUMMARY: 10 Housing Markets To Watch in 2011

Inman News examined housing, economic and demographic data for metropolitan areas nationwide in compiling a list of 10 housing markets that are showing signs of strength and may outperform other housing markets in 2011 in several key metrics. Inman News also asked a host of real estate search and data companies to share research and methodology to identify high-performing real estate markets across the U.S.

Real estate markets in the Midwest and Northeast dominated a list of 10 fast-rising real estate markets nationwide identified in the Inman News analysis, as many markets in the Sun Belt states are still struggling through the housing downturn.

The Midwest and Northeast U.S. accounted for eight of 10 markets on the list: Bismarck and Fargo, N.D.; Des Moines, Iowa; Bloomington-Normal, Ill.; Elmira and Buffalo-Niagara Falls, N.Y.; Portland-South Portland-Biddeford, Maine; and Burlington-South Burlington, Vt.

The other two markets on the list: Kennewick-Richland-Pasco, Wash.; and the Washington, D.C., metro area.

Nationwide, unemployment is high, home prices are flat and trending lower since the expiration of the federal homebuyer tax credits, and overall sales fell last year compared to the prior year.

Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow, said it’s unlikely that “substantial price appreciation” will occur “in any market nationwide in the near term.” Rather, the company identified some “stabilizing” markets provided for this report.

“Nationally, I don’t think we’ll see a bottom in home prices until later this year and once they hit bottom we’re looking at a prolonged period of time where housing appreciation is below historical norms,” Humphries said.

Nevertheless, Inman News identified some markets with significant price appreciation as well as a vibrant job market, a high level of home affordability, low foreclosure activity, and other indicators for a healthy housing market. Most have populations below 250,000. In addition, jobs in the health care industry and public sector, especially, buoyed employment in these areas.

To compile the list, Inman News considered markets with low unemployment rates, high median sales price growth, growth in the number of building permits issued, a rise in in-migration from other states, population growth, projected job growth, affordability, low foreclosure activity, median household income growth, fewer average days on market for for-sale properties, and growth in occupied housing units.

Among the findings in this report:

Of the states represented in this list of market areas, North Dakota, Vermont, Iowa and, to a certain extent, New York, also shed fewer Realtors during the housing bust compared to other states.

Two of the 10 markets on this list are state capitals and one is the nation’s capital — agents say government centers can lend job stability.

Six of 10 markets had median sales prices below the national median in the fourth quarter of 2010, and seven out of 10 had median prices lower than the national median price for the full year in 2010.

Where affordability rankings were available, the markets on the list had no less than 75 percent of homes affordable to those households earning the area’s median income.

All had unemployment and foreclosure rates lower than the national average. None of the markets had unemployment rates higher than 8.2 percent.

Only two of the markets had populations above 1 million. Six of 10 had populations below 250,000.

Companies in the health care and medical industries were major employers in at least seven of the 10 markets.

Seven out of 10 markets had some military presence. The Fargo, Burlington, Portland and Des Moines metro areas are each home to an Air National Guard base. The North Dakota National Guard Headquarters are in Bismarck. There’s an Air Reserve Station in the Buffalo market.

Not surprisingly, the Washington, D.C., metro area had the largest military footprint of the 10 markets: the Pentagon, Bolling Air Force Base, Fort McNair, Walter Reed Medical Center, Marine Barracks and Washington Navy Yard are within its limits.

The 10 markets are ranked according to population, sales volume, and median sales price appreciation. Population was weighted most heavily in the rankings, followed by sales volume in proportion to population and rate of price appreciation.

THE 10 MARKETS

1. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.Va.
2. Buffalo-Niagara Falls, N.Y.
3. Des Moines, Iowa
4. Portland-South Portland-Biddeford, Maine
5. Kennewick-Richland-Pasco, Wash.
6. Fargo, N.D.-Minn.
7. Burlington-South Burlington, Vt.
8. Bloomington-Normal, Ill.
9. Bismarck, N.D.
10. Elmira, N.Y.

The complete detailed report of the 10 markets to look out for in 2011 was provided to you from Inman News.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

If Your Goal Is To Buy Low, Buy Now

There is a very famous saying which asserts “Sell High, Buy Low”. It is obviously great advice no matter what the investment. Below is a graph showing the cycle of investments. It shows the points of maximum risk and maximum opportunity when purchasing. We want to sell high (point of maximum risk) and buy low (point of maximum opportunity).

The challenge is how to determine when we have hit bottom if you are a purchaser. The only time you can guarantee a bottom is after you pass it.

However, there is more and more evidence that the COST of a home has in fact hit bottom. Notice we have used the word COST. Unless you are an all cash buyer, you must take into consideration the expense of financing a property to determine the true cost of purchasing the home. Interest rates have increased over the last quarter; and the rise in rates has counteracted any fall in prices.

Let’s look at an example:

Let’s say you were going to take out a $200,000 30-year-fixed-rate mortgage in November of 2010. At that time, interest rates were 4.17% (as per Freddie Mac). Your principle and interest payment would have come to $974.54. According to the most recent report from Case Shiller house prices fell 3.9% in the 4th quarter of 2010. The most recent report from the Federal Housing Finance Agency shows a 0.8% fall in prices. Let’s use the larger percentage decrease: 3.9%.

For the sake of keeping the math simple, we will now say you can get the same house with a $192,000 mortgage (4% discount from November price). Interest rates are now 4.95% (as per Freddie Mac).

Your principle and interest payment would now be $1,024.84.

By waiting to pay less for the PRICE of the house, the COST increased over $50 a month. That adds up to more than $600 a year and over $18,000 over the life of the loan.

We realize that there are other things to consider (ex. the mortgage tax deduction, etc.). This example is just a simple way to show that there is a difference between COST and PRICE.

Bottom Line

If you want to buy low, buy now. It appears COST has hit its lowest point.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

The First Question You Should Ask Your Listing Agent

What is the most important thing a seller should look for when hiring a real estate agent to sell their house? It is a question that is often asked. Is it the size of the company they are licensed with? Is it their marketing program? Their years experience in the business? Should you choose the agent who suggests the highest listing price?

There are many things that should be taken into consideration when hiring someone and giving them the responsibility for selling your home. The most important question you can ask a potential listing agent is a simple one:

Do you truly believe that now is a good time to buy a home?

Why should this matter when hiring someone to SELL your home? Buyers are nervous about purchasing right now. They want to know they are making an intelligent choice. Especially in today’s market, you need to hire someone who realizes that this is one of the best times in American real estate history to buy. If an agent doesn’t believe that, how will they be able to convince a potential buyer to buy your home?

When interviewing a real estate professional, ask them to explain why purchasing a home makes sense today. They should be able to explain it simply and effectively. See how many of the following facts (which should be shared with every potential purchaser) the agent knows:

The Wall Street Journal last week stated:

“With home sales starting to improve, and with prices now possibly forming a bottom, real estate could well be the asset class that represents the best low-risk buying opportunity out there today.”

Donald Trump was just quoted saying:

“I’m pretty sure this is a great time to go out and buy a house. And if you do, in 10 years you’re going to look back and say, ‘You know, I‘m glad I listened to Donald Trump’.”

John Paulson, a multibillionaire hedge fund operator and the investment genius who made a killing betting against housing a few years ago, is now bullish on residential real estate market. He recently said:

“If you don’t own a home, buy one. If you own one home, buy another one. If you own two homes, buy a third. And, lend your relatives the money to buy a home.”

A recent Gallup Poll showed that 67% of American’s think that now is a ‘good time’ to buy a home. The Gallup Organization went on to say:

“Overall, there is good reason for most Americans to think now is a good time to buy a house. Interest rates remain near historic lows. Home prices are down sharply, providing many incredible buys.”

The iconic financial paper in this country, the country’s most famous real estate investor, the most successful prognosticator of the housing market and 2/3 of all Americans say now is the time to buy a home. Shouldn’t your agent agree?

Bottom Line

Selling is nothing more than the transference of conviction. How can agents transfer that conviction if they themselves are not convinced? Find a listing agent who truly believes that someone should buy your home – TODAY! This is the single most important thing you should look for in a potential listing agent.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

You Need an EXPERT, Not Just an Agent

A major national television network called a few weeks ago to do a live interview. To Steve Harney, an author, it was an honor to visit their Manhattan studios and meet Gerri Willis, the anchor of her own show – The Willis Report.

She and all the people on her staff were both extremely professional and very nice. We believe the interview went well (click picture to view).

We later realized there was an underlying story behind the interview which was just as important as the segment itself. Why would a major news network want to interview a member of The KCM Crew? It seems that even main stream media understands the confusion today’s market is creating. They want to help consumers navigate through that confusion. Steve’s interview concentrated on what a seller needed to know. The next day, Gerri interviewed two other experts who discussed what was important to the buyer. She wanted to provide ‘expert’ advice.

That’s the key – EXPERT advice.

The following day, we attended a major real estate convention, the Inman News Conference, in New York City. The common theme throughout the conference was that real estate professionals need to truly understand what is happening in today’s market and why it is happening. They need to know this in order to help buyers and sellers make good, informed decisions. They need to be an expert.

In a session at the conference, the people from Tech Savvy Agent explained how important it was to have great industry information in the form of graphs and visuals on your smart phones, ipads and other mobile devices. Making the difficult easier to understand is what experts do!!

We also had the good fortune to have lunch with two of the most successful real estate practitioners in the country, Jay Kinder and Michael Reese. Each sold hundreds of homes in 2010. The same word kept popping up in the conversation – expert.

It seems that everyone is realizing the same thing – expert advice is the most valuable asset today’s real estate agent can offer.

Bottom Line

Whether you are buying or selling, make sure you are dealing with a real estate expert not just someone who happens to have a real estate license.

If you have found this information useful please pass this along and if you come across any other information like this one please feel free to share it with me.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

Best Bang for the Remodeling Buck

When it comes to remodeling, Americans are thinking small. It’s a reflection of the times we live in, according to Sal Alfano, editorial director of Remodeling magazine, a trade journal that each year conducts an extensive study of the typical costs of home-remodeling jobs, compared to ballpark estimates of how much of those expenditures homeowners would recoup at sale time.

The short version: Economic realities have generally snuffed out over-the-top kitchen remodels and room additions in favor of more modest jobs, said Alfano, whose magazine has conducted its “Cost vs. Value” survey of contractors and real estate agents since 1988.

In broadest terms, the average return on investment of a remodeling project this past year at sale time was 60 percent, vs. 63.8 percent last year, Alfano said. (He noted, however, that the magazine introduced a number of small-scale projects into the mix this year in order to reflect what’s happening in the marketplace, and those skewed the returns slightly.)

Still, “small projects are here to stay,” he said. Although some have interpreted the magazine’s latest data to mean that chastened homeowners are now remodeling for their families’ own needs and are no longer trying to impress future buyers in order to recoup their remodeling investments, Alfano doesn’t see a sea change in consumer attitudes.

“I think that’s always been the case — people are going to do the projects they want and need,” he said. “Mostly people remodel for themselves.

“The fact that houses depreciated shocked a lot of people, but they seem to be getting their confidence back,” he said. “I still believe there’s a lot of pent-up demand, and it’s almost working in favor of remodeling — people are saying, ‘I can’t really sell this place for what I’d like to get, so I might as well remodel it.’ ”

Five things to know about what seems to have a payback — and what doesn’t — in home remodeling:

1. The magazine studied tightly defined jobs on a national and regional basis, as well as for many cities. It further broke down many of those projects, such as kitchen remodeling, into such categories as “minor remodel” and “high-end.”

The study was conducted in collaboration with the National Association of Realtors, whose members offered payback estimates based on resales in their geographic areas.

Full results can be seen at remodeling.hw.net.

The top five “moderate projects” with the strongest payback at resale time, returning 72.2 percent or more of their cost: steel entry-door replacement (at a cost of about $1,200); garage-door replacement ($1,000); wooden deck addition ($11,000); replacing 10 insulated, wooden windows clad in vinyl or aluminum ($12,000); an attic bedroom addition ($51,428).

2. The best bang for the buck was garage-door replacement, Alfano said. It was the first time that project had appeared in the survey, though it made sense because consumers seem to have a strong interest in curb-appeal projects these days, he said.

The top 10 spots in the national ranking are occupied by 13 projects (there were ties), and nine of these are exterior replacements, Alfano said.

3. Two projects with chunky price tags held their own in the ratings, which surprised Alfano somewhat: The full remodels of basement and attic stayed in the top 10, despite their costs.

In the survey, the basement rehab typically cost $64,500 and returned 70 percent at sale time, the study said. (Although the researchers wrote a lengthy and detailed description of the project in order to gain a consistent cost estimation, the basic job, for purposes of the survey, was to finish the lower level of a house in order to create a 20-by-30-foot entertaining area with a wet bar and a 5-by-8-foot bathroom; walls and ceilings were of painted drywall, exterior walls were insulated, and wiring and plumbing were new.)

The attic bedroom carried an average price tag of $51,000 and returned 72.2 percent of the cost, according to the study. (This task was to convert unfinished space to a 15-by-15-foot bedroom and 5-by-7-foot bathroom with shower.

The plan would include a dormer, four new windows and closet space, with new insulation, heating and air conditioning, and wiring to code.)

“They’re fairly beefy projects,” Alfano said. “But they add living space without breaking ground. People are looking for and need to have more living space, and (those two projects) are the most economical way to do it” — generally cheaper than a room addition, he said.

4. Kitchens are the darlings of home remodeling, and lately the market action is in the magazine’s definition of a minor version, Alfano said.

There’s probably no such thing as a cheap kitchen remodel. But by the magazine’s terms, the minor remodel takes a functional but dated 200-square-foot kitchen with 30 linear feet of cabinetry and countertops and leaves the cabinet frames in place, replacing their fronts with new, raised-panel wooden doors and drawers. The room also gets an energy-efficient wall oven and cooktop, laminate countertops, mid-priced sink and faucet and resilient flooring. Again, the key here is not messing with the footprint in order to conserve costs — no walls or plumbing were moved.

The average cost for such a job was about $22,000, with a likely return of 72.8 percent of the cost, the magazine estimated.

“It jumped up to fourth place this year, which is nice to see,” he said. “People are getting back to traditional projects, but in a smaller way.”

5. Although the “don’t bother” category – in terms of payback — may be debatable, the project that had the least return, according to the survey, was installing a backup power generator, at an average cost of nearly $15,000. Its payback was about 48 percent, according to the study.

If you have found this information useful please pass this along and if you come across any other information like this one please feel free to share it with me.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

Wasn’t QE2 Supposed to Make Interest Rates Go Lower? What Happened?

Interest rates, across the board, have actually been spiking since the announcement of the QE2 (Quantitative Easing) program on November 3.

Is the Fed  more or less powerless to lower rates? QE2 was really not designed to drive rates down from prevailing levels but merely to “accommodate” the fiscal deficit and prevent a rise in rates that would otherwise occur due to crowding out and other effects.

10-Year US Treasury yields (TNX) have risen since the announcement of QE2, municipal bond yields have spiked, corporate bond yields have risen, and mortgage rates have spiked. Indeed, overall, interest rates across the board are actually higher than they were before financial markets began to discount the prospect of QE2.

Having said that, it’s important to note that although rates have risen, they are still well below levels that could jeopardize the economic recovery. The question is what happens next.

In the short term, a few issues need to be monitored. For starters, investors should be aware of the fact that the crisis in Europe is actually “bailing out” the US in some sense. In the global competition for capital, troubles in Europe make the US seem like a relative safe haven thereby facilitating the financing of the US fiscal deficit. Furthermore, troubles in Europe will tend to depress global growth expectations and ease fears of commodity-driven inflation. Thus, the situation in Europe will be a key driver in US interest rate dynamics.

Second, any whiff of accelerating inflation in the US could have a dramatic impact on the bond markets. Again, developments in global commodities markets are key in this regard.

Finally, at some point, investor scrutiny is going to be turned toward congressional and presidential action with respect to the US fiscal deficit and sovereign debt fundamentals. The news of the failure of the presidential deficit commission to garner the necessary votes to issue an official recommendation is a worrisome development in this regard.

Conclusion

US interest rates are supposed to be falling, not rising. At least that’s what we were led to believe a few months ago when market consensus was excited about QE2 and the Fed’s power to stimulate the economy.

This sense that the Fed has lost control of interest rate dynamics could add an important element of uncertainty into financial markets in the coming months.

This is particularly important in a context in which investors generally are over-exposed to bonds.

Now that the President has extended the tax cuts and unemployment benefits, a long bear market in US bonds has already begun. Bad news out of Europe is probably the only factor that will be able to sporadically arrest the upward assent of US interest rates in the coming weeks and months.

I believe that US bond rallies due to instability in Europe should be utilized to initiate short positions in various categories of US bonds.

So what does this all mean to the consumer?  Right now rates are still pretty low and now would be the time to take advantage of them if you are sitting on the fence.  If you are contemplating on making a purchase or refinance, you may want to consult with a mortgage professional to perform an analysis that outlines everything in terms of rate and costs over time (depending on how long you plan on keeping the mortgage).

You at least owe it to yourself to take that step.  What do you have to lose?  Or more importantly, what do you have to gain?

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

Short on cash for a down payment? Here are some of the best resources

You’ve found the perfect house. Prices of homes and interest rates are are still low. There’s just one thing standing between you and your dream home: a down payment.

Coming up with a down payment can certainly be the hardest part about being able to afford a new house, especially if this is your first home. However, there are more than just a couple of ways you can do this.

So don’t abandon your homeownership quest just yet. Here are some of the best ways to come up with the cash for your new home.

1. Use Special Programs. There are many programs that are designed for the underfunded purchaser. Many state and local government agencies offer down payment assistance programs and don’t forget some non-profit agencies offer help as well. Each jurisdiction offers a different program. Please contact me for specific guidelines and restrictions for each locality.

2. HUD Homes. FHA offers homes that have been repossessed, however to purchase these homes the required down payment is only $100.  To view these homes in the area you wish to live go to HUD.GOV and search for HUD homes or you can go directly if you click here. Keep in mind not all lenders offer financing for this type of program, make sure your lender is able to provide this type of financing on your behalf.

3. Bridal Registry. In 1996 HUD or FHA released guidelines for creating a special type of bank account for gift funds provided to the borrower from other individuals, called a Homeowner Bridal Registry Account. The intent was to give couples planning to get married the opportunity to amass monetary gifts from friends and family for the specific purpose of making a down payment on a home.

4. Gifts. Gifts can be allowed for 100% of the down payment. However the gift must come from a bona-fide family or family-type member.  Non-profit agencies may provide gift funds, but cannot pay other non-affiliated outside borrower costs. Also, guidelines on gifts can vary based on the type of loan program (i.e. Government or Conventional).

5. Borrow From Your 401K. Do you have a retirement in a company savings plan? Why not borrow against your 401K for the down payment. The cons to this strategy is that the loan would have to be repaid back and the monthly payment would be counted against your debt-to-income ratio. Make sure you consult with a tax professional before attempting to do this strategy.

6. Tap Into Your IRA. If this is your first home purchase, let Uncle Sam (IRS) help you out.  The tax laws will allow you to use up to $10,000 from your IRA for a down payment on a purchase of your first home. If you’re married and you both are first-time buyers, you each can pull from your retirement accounts, meaning a potential $20,000 down payment. Make sure you consult with a tax professional before attempting to do this strategy.

7. Get a Second Job. Get a part-time job to provide your down payment.

8. Increase Your Withholding. If getting a second job doesn’t pan out for you then you may want to increase your withholding in anticipation of your standard deductions in owning a home. You will be able to take home more income and save for your down payment. However, be careful with this strategy as you may want to consult with a tax professional in regarding the potential tax consequences.

9. Sell Your Unwanted Items on Ebay. Yep, I said it. You could have a garage sale or a typical auction to sell your items. Why not sell them on Ebay and get some extra cash to help with your down payment.

Hopefully this will help you think of some ways to come up with a down payment. These 9 are some of the better ones “in my opinion” to use in assisting you to become a homeowner. For other free tips on educating yourself on getting the best out of your home purchase, feel free to click here and sign up for your FREE weekly tips on the path to homeownership. Also, feel free to contact me to discuss even more ways to come up with a down payment.

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84 | Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home, don’t keep me a secret. Be sure to call or send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.

Why are condos getting harder to finance?

Condos – As anyone who has been “in the market” for a while knows, loans on condominiums have been getting more expensive and harder to get over the last few years.   Well, it’s getting worse.    Let me explain the what and “guess” the why:

The way it was – The way it was, a condo loan would have additional fees on it equal to .25% of the loan amount.   So, a condo loan for $100,000 would have approximately $250 in additional fees.

The way it is now – if a borrower is at over 75% of the value of the property and has a loan term that is longer than 15 years, the fee for being a condo goes from.25% of the loan amount to .75% of the loan amount.    That’s a 300% increase.   If someone doesn’t want to pay the fee, they are going to end up with approximately a .25% higher rate.

Why are they doing that?  A couple of guestimates:

The reason that the expenses and difficulty of getting loans on condos has been happening because a condo’s value is more closely tied to it’s neighbors than the value of a single family home is.    If the neighborhood that I live in has 30% of the homes in foreclosure (there are 5 that I can tell right now), that’s going to impact the value of my home, probably quite substantially.   But let’s say that I live in a condo project and we’ve got 30% of our condos in foreclosure, that means that not only do I have the impact of my neighbors lower values, but I’ve also got a situation where the homeowner’s association is losing out 30% of the homeowner’s association dues.   That means that they aren’t going to have enough to pay all the bills – the insurance, the maintenance, the lawn maintenance etc.    That will have a bigger impact on the value of a condo in that project and that’s why condo loans are more expensive.

The fact that these costs are increasing says a couple of things:  1) That the losses on loans on condos are not going down, but are probably actually getting worse.   2) That the secondary mortgage market believes either that the market is going to get worse regarding condos or if it’s going to stabilize, it’s stabilizing at a loss level that’s higher than what the current fee levels can support.

In short, the “market” thinks that the condo market isn’t at the bottom yet…….

Until next time…

Geoffrey Bolen
Your Mortgage Advisor For Life
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc.
Phone: 301-588-4701 x84
Fax: 301-588-4709
Email: gbolen@primeres.com

P.S. It’s my intentions to continue building lifelong relationships one client at a time and remain your personal mortgage advisor for life. If you know of a friend, family member, or coworker who is looking for financial options, either through purchasing or refinancing a home. Be sure to send me an e-mail, I know someone. Your referrals are the greatest compliment I can receive.